Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-01-08 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (67% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 32.9%

COL: 67.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.26

COL: 3.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

COL

Trent Miner - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	36	35	1	97.2%	2.88	0	1.88
COL	Trent Miner	20	17	3	85.0%	2.33	2	-0.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CHI at home vs COL: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CHI 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-02-28	COL 3 - 1 CHI	COL	COL
2025-11-23	CHI 0 - 1 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-02	CHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-10	COL 3 - 0 CHI	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	12	0	0.57
1	COL	18	0	1.22
2	CHI	12	0	0.63
2	COL	14	0	0.88
3	CHI	8	2	1.14
3	COL	14	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.3 - 3.7