Dallas Stars at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-01-09 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 45.9%
DAL: 54.1%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.93
DAL: 3.28
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | PHI | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.821 | 0.952 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs DAL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | PHI 2 - 1 DAL | PHI | DAL |
| 2025-11-15 | DAL 5 - 1 PHI | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-03-22 | DAL 3 - 2 PHI | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-01-09 | PHI 1 - 4 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-01-18 | PHI 5 - 1 DAL | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:45 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 09:38 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:41 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:47 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:47 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3
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