Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-01-09 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 56.5%
EDM: 43.5%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.97
EDM: 3.39
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | PIT | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.773 | 0.811 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PIT at home vs EDM: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | EDM 2 - 6 PIT | PIT | EDM |
| 2025-12-16 | PIT 4 - 6 EDM | EDM | PIT |
| 2025-01-09 | PIT 5 - 3 EDM | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-10-25 | EDM 4 - 0 PIT | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-03-10 | PIT 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:19 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 07:22 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 09:46 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 12:33 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 13:41 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 05:42 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 10:58 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 19:15 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.0 - 3.4