Toronto Maple Leafs at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-01-09 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 61.7%
TOR: 38.3%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.39
TOR: 2.45
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | CAR | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.800 | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • CAR at home vs TOR: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | CAR 1 - 5 TOR | TOR | CAR |
| 2025-11-09 | TOR 4 - 5 CAR | CAR | TOR |
| 2025-04-13 | CAR 1 - 4 TOR | TOR | CAR |
| 2025-02-22 | TOR 6 - 3 CAR | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-01-09 | CAR 6 - 3 TOR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:15 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 13:58 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 07:29 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 01:59 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:58 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:11 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:35 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:23 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 00:20 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.4 - 2.4