Seattle Kraken at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-01-09 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CBJ: 54.0%

SEA: 46.0%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.47

SEA: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	31	29	2	93.5%	2.08	1	0.08
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	24	18	6	75.0%	2.91	2	-3.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	CBJ 5 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-11	SEA 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	SEA
2025-01-09	CBJ 6 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-12	SEA 5 - 2 CBJ	SEA	CBJ
2024-01-28	SEA 4 - 2 CBJ	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	9	0	0.80
1	SEA	19	0	0.54
2	CBJ	17	0	0.87
2	SEA	16	0	0.53
3	CBJ	4	2	1.24
3	SEA	17	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8