Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-01-09 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 6 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

STL: 64.2%

ANA: 35.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.40

ANA: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	23	21	2	91.3%	2.17	1	0.17
ANA	Lukas Dostal	34	28	6	82.4%	3.06	1	-2.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • STL at home vs ANA: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	21	0	1.39
1	ANA	9	1	0.93
2	STL	12	1	1.21
2	ANA	15	0	0.70
3	STL	12	0	0.46
3	ANA	11	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 6 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9