San Jose Sharks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-01-10 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

UTA: 76.6%

SJS: 23.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.99

SJS: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	19	18	1	94.7%	1.87	2	0.87
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	26	24	2	92.3%	3.09	3	1.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • UTA at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-01	SJS 6 - 3 UTA	SJS	SJS
2025-11-18	SJS 3 - 2 UTA	SJS	SJS
2025-10-17	UTA 6 - 3 SJS	UTA	UTA
2025-01-10	UTA 2 - 1 SJS	UTA	UTA
2024-12-14	SJS 3 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	18	0	1.22
1	SJS	10	0	0.71
2	UTA	8	0	0.52
2	SJS	7	1	0.67
3	UTA	17	3	1.34
3	SJS	11	1	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.0 - 2.8