Seattle Kraken at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-01-11 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 2 - 6 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 57.7%
SEA: 42.3%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.22
SEA: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | BUF | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.958 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • BUF at home vs SEA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | SEA 1 - 3 BUF | BUF | SEA |
| 2025-01-20 | SEA 6 - 4 BUF | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-01-11 | BUF 2 - 6 SEA | SEA | BUF |
| 2024-03-18 | SEA 2 - 6 BUF | BUF | SEA |
| 2024-01-09 | BUF 2 - 5 SEA | SEA | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:37 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 17:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:48 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 19:12 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 03:08 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 03:46 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:26 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:25 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 2 - 6 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2