Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-01-11 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

CHI: 23.6%

EDM: 76.4%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.41

EDM: 3.71

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	34	30	4	88.2%	4.57	5	0.57
EDM	Calvin Pickard	22	19	3	86.4%	1.72	1	-1.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • CHI at home vs EDM: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	EDM 3 - 1 CHI	EDM	EDM
2026-01-12	CHI 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-11-01	EDM 3 - 2 CHI	EDM	EDM
2025-02-05	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-11	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	13	0	0.48
1	EDM	15	0	0.80
2	CHI	8	0	0.26
2	EDM	23	3	2.63
3	CHI	10	1	0.98
3	EDM	13	2	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.4 - 3.7