Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-01-11 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 51.3%
EDM: 48.7%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.62
EDM: 3.44
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | CHI | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | — |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • CHI at home vs EDM: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | CHI 1 - 4 EDM | EDM | CHI |
| 2025-11-01 | EDM 3 - 2 CHI | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-02-05 | CHI 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | CHI |
| 2025-01-11 | CHI 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | CHI |
| 2024-10-12 | EDM 2 - 5 CHI | CHI | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:01 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 04:45 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 17:30 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:49 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:03 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 00:22 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 07:18 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.6 - 3.4