Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-01-11 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 61.0%
WSH: 39.0%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.08
WSH: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | NSH | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs WSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | WSH 4 - 2 NSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2026-01-11 | NSH 3 - 2 WSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-11 | NSH 1 - 4 WSH | WSH | NSH |
| 2024-11-06 | WSH 3 - 2 NSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2023-12-30 | WSH 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 16:14 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 09:03 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:01 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 14:54 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 08:30 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9