New York Islanders at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-01-11 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 57.7%
NYI: 42.3%
Expected Goals
UTA: 2.95
NYI: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | UTA | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.884 | — |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • UTA at home vs NYI: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | NYI 2 - 7 UTA | UTA | NYI |
| 2025-11-14 | UTA 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | UTA |
| 2025-01-11 | UTA 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | UTA |
| 2024-10-10 | NYI 4 - 5 UTA | UTA | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:13 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:35 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 03:36 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.0 - 2.7