Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-01-11 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 54.7%
MIN: 45.3%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.64
MIN: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | SJS | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.894 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • SJS at home vs MIN: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | SJS 4 - 3 MIN | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1 - 2 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-04-09 | MIN 8 - 7 SJS | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-11 | SJS 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 04:34 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 17:30 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 2.6 - 2.8