PIT vs TBL - 2025-01-12
2025-01-12 • PPG Paints Arena
PIT 2 - 5 TBL
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 51.2%
TBL: 48.8%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.24
TBL: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 14-12-4 | 0.893 SV% | 2.71 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:20 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 06:54 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 16:04 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:17 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 16:57 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:48 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:39 | TBL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
PIT 2 - 5 TBL
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1