Anaheim Ducks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-01-12 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 60.6%
ANA: 39.4%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.34
ANA: 2.43
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | CAR | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs ANA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | CAR 5 - 2 ANA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-16 | ANA 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | ANA |
| 2025-03-23 | ANA 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | ANA |
| 2025-01-12 | CAR 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | CAR |
| 2024-01-11 | CAR 6 - 3 ANA | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:35 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 01:18 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:48 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:04 | CAR | Goal |
| 4 | 01:52 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.4