Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-01-13 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 49.5%
FLA: 50.5%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.00
FLA: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | PHI | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.868 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs FLA: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | FLA 2 - 4 PHI | PHI | FLA |
| 2025-10-13 | PHI 5 - 2 FLA | PHI | FLA |
| 2025-10-09 | FLA 2 - 1 PHI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-13 | PHI 4 - 3 FLA | PHI | FLA |
| 2024-12-05 | PHI 5 - 7 FLA | FLA | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:59 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 09:34 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:51 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 02:01 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 03:35 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:59 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:09 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1
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