San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-01-14 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 56.2%
SJS: 43.8%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.77
SJS: 2.54
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | DET | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs SJS: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | DET 4 - 2 SJS | DET | DET |
| 2025-11-02 | SJS 2 - 3 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-14 | DET 3 - 6 SJS | SJS | DET |
| 2024-11-18 | SJS 5 - 4 DET | SJS | DET |
| 2024-01-02 | SJS 3 - 5 DET | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:45 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 17:41 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 01:28 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 00:26 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 06:05 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:43 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 09:56 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 10:57 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:22 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.8 - 2.5
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