Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-01-14 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 61.1%
SEA: 38.9%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.06
SEA: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | PIT | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.839 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PIT at home vs SEA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | SEA 3 - 6 PIT | PIT | SEA |
| 2025-11-22 | PIT 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | PIT |
| 2025-01-25 | SEA 4 - 1 PIT | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-01-14 | PIT 2 - 4 SEA | SEA | PIT |
| 2024-02-29 | SEA 2 - 0 PIT | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:12 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 09:19 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 04:42 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 08:04 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 08:54 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:57 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8