Anaheim Ducks at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-01-14 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 3 - 0 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 68.6%
ANA: 31.4%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.46
ANA: 2.43
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
| Stat | WSH | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.840 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.921 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs ANA: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | WSH 7 - 4 ANA | WSH | ANA |
| 2025-12-05 | ANA 4 - 3 WSH | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-03-11 | ANA 4 - 7 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-14 | WSH 3 - 0 ANA | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-01-16 | WSH 2 - 0 ANA | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:34 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 14:30 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 19:01 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 3 - 0 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.4
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