Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-01-14 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

STL: 61.6%

CGY: 38.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.29

CGY: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	28	27	1	96.4%	1.58	0	0.58
CGY	Dan Vladar	25	23	2	92.0%	2.22	0	0.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • STL at home vs CGY: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	CGY
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	CGY
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	STL
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	12	0.60
1	CGY	13	0.37
2	STL	17	1.16
2	CGY	17	0.52
3	STL	11	0.47
3	CGY	14	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1