Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-01-15 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

MIN: 35.4%

EDM: 64.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.96

EDM: 3.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	36	31	5	86.1%	2.69	1	-2.31
EDM	Calvin Pickard	34	31	3	91.2%	2.50	2	-0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs EDM: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-12	MIN 1 - 7 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	18	0	0.72
1	EDM	19	1	1.33
2	MIN	10	0	0.61
2	EDM	16	0	0.74
3	MIN	19	2	1.17
3	EDM	17	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6