Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-01-15 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 3 - 5 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 54.8%
EDM: 45.2%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.02
EDM: 3.72
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | MIN | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | 0.872 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs EDM: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | EDM 3 - 7 MIN | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-12-20 | MIN 5 - 2 EDM | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-02 | EDM 0 - 1 MIN | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-01-15 | MIN 3 - 5 EDM | EDM | MIN |
| 2024-12-12 | MIN 1 - 7 EDM | EDM | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:02 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 16:11 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 16:32 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 18:28 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 04:09 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 14:15 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 01:28 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 12:49 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 3 - 5 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.0 - 3.7