Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-01-16 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 61.2%
DET: 38.8%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.46
DET: 2.47
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | FLA | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.913 | — |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • FLA at home vs DET: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-15 | DET 4 - 1 FLA | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-10 | FLA 4 - 1 DET | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-04-06 | DET 2 - 1 FLA | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-16 | FLA 2 - 5 DET | DET | FLA |
| 2024-03-30 | FLA 3 - 2 DET | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:01 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 08:48 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 15:41 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 13:44 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 08:21 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:52 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:38 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.5 - 2.5