Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-01-16 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 50.8%
CGY: 49.2%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.08
CGY: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | STL | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.950 | 0.881 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • STL at home vs CGY: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | CGY 2 - 1 STL | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-11 | STL 3 - 2 CGY | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-11 | CGY 2 - 4 STL | STL | CGY |
| 2025-01-16 | STL 4 - 1 CGY | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-14 | STL 2 - 1 CGY | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:55 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 13:53 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 15:40 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:14 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:39 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
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