Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-01-16 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

WPG: 53.8%

SEA: 46.2%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.42

SEA: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	18	17	1	94.4%	1.41	0	0.41
SEA	Joey Daccord	36	34	2	94.4%	2.40	1	0.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • WPG at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	0	0.52
1	SEA	15	0	0.71
2	WPG	22	1	1.31
2	SEA	6	0	0.45
3	WPG	12	0	0.56
3	SEA	9	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7