New York Rangers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-01-16 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 5 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 59.9%
NYR: 40.1%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.21
NYR: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | UTA | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.913 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • UTA at home vs NYR: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | NYR 2 - 3 UTA | UTA | NYR |
| 2025-11-22 | UTA 3 - 2 NYR | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-16 | UTA 3 - 5 NYR | NYR | UTA |
| 2024-10-12 | NYR 5 - 6 UTA | UTA | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:01 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 03:42 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 08:12 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 16:25 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:57 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 00:28 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 10:22 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:22 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 5 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1