BUF vs PIT - 2025-01-17
2025-01-17 • KeyBank Center
BUF 2 - 5 PIT
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 51.2%
PIT: 48.8%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.73
PIT: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 14-12-4 | 0.893 SV% | 2.71 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:16 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 01:41 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 02:08 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 11:43 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 01:09 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 14:46 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:18 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
BUF 2 - 5 PIT
Expected: 2.7 - 2.9