Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-01-17 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 60.0%
VGK: 40.0%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.14
VGK: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | CAR | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.915 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs VGK: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | CAR 3 - 6 VGK | VGK | CAR |
| 2025-10-20 | VGK 4 - 1 CAR | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-17 | CAR 3 - 2 VGK | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-11 | VGK 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | VGK |
| 2024-02-17 | VGK 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:22 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 11:57 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 00:46 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:09 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:52 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7