Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-01-18 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 57.7%
PHI: 42.3%
Expected Goals
NJD: 2.75
PHI: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | NJD | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.871 | 0.910 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs PHI: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | NJD 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | NJD |
| 2025-11-22 | PHI 6 - 3 NJD | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-03-09 | PHI 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | PHI |
| 2025-01-29 | NJD 5 - 0 PHI | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-27 | PHI 4 - 2 NJD | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:17 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 01:56 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 19:58 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 12:44 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 2.7 - 2.9