Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-01-18 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 51.1%
PHI: 48.9%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.30
PHI: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 59%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | NJD | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.840 | 0.923 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • NJD at home vs PHI: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | NJD 1 - 5 PHI | PHI | NJD |
| 2025-11-29 | NJD 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | NJD |
| 2025-11-22 | PHI 6 - 3 NJD | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-03-09 | PHI 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | PHI |
| 2025-01-29 | NJD 5 - 0 PHI | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:17 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 01:56 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 12:44 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:58 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1
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