Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-01-18 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 6 - 5 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 50.0%
BOS: 50.0%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.40
BOS: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 7.4
Over 5.5: 76%
Over 6.5: 66%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | OTT | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.765 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • OTT at home vs BOS: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | BOS 2 - 6 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-13 | OTT 5 - 3 BOS | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-06 | BOS 3 - 2 OTT | BOS | OTT |
| 2025-10-27 | OTT 7 - 2 BOS | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-13 | OTT 6 - 3 BOS | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:47 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 07:35 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 11:07 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 19:22 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 01:06 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 05:41 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 14:38 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 11:23 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:47 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:48 | OTT | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 6 - 5 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9
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