Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-01-18 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 6 - 5 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 54.7%
BOS: 45.3%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.07
BOS: 3.44
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | OTT | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.765 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • OTT at home vs BOS: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | BOS 2 - 6 OTT | OTT | BOS |
| 2025-11-13 | OTT 5 - 3 BOS | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-06 | BOS 3 - 2 OTT | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-10-27 | OTT 7 - 2 BOS | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-13 | OTT 6 - 3 BOS | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:47 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 07:35 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 11:07 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 19:22 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 01:06 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 05:41 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 14:38 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 11:23 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:47 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:48 | OTT | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 6 - 5 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.1 - 3.4