Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-01-18 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 48.3%

CBJ: 51.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.15

CBJ: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	30	30	0	100.0%	2.61	1	2.61
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	28	27	1	96.4%	2.41	0	1.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYR at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	CBJ
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	CBJ
2025-03-09	NYR 3 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	0	0.58
1	CBJ	17	1	1.12
2	NYR	16	0	0.68
2	CBJ	6	0	0.30
3	NYR	12	0	0.57
3	CBJ	10	0	0.73
4	NYR	4	0	0.41
4	CBJ	5	0	0.23
5	NYR	3	0	0.17
5	CBJ	3	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2