Los Angeles Kings at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-01-18 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 38.7%
LAK: 61.3%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.86
LAK: 3.53
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | SEA | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.854 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | 0.826 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SEA at home vs LAK: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | SEA 3 - 5 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2026-02-04 | LAK 2 - 4 SEA | SEA | LAK |
| 2025-12-23 | LAK 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | LAK |
| 2025-12-10 | SEA 3 - 2 LAK | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-04-15 | SEA 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:28 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 06:07 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 07:40 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 18:43 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 01:37 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:50 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.9 - 3.5
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.