Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-01-19 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 65.7%
DET: 34.3%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.80
DET: 2.49
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | DAL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.864 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • DAL at home vs DET: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | DET 4 - 3 DAL | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-14 | DET 6 - 4 DAL | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-19 | DAL 4 - 1 DET | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-01-23 | DET 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DET |
| 2023-12-11 | DAL 6 - 3 DET | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:18 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 13:05 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:26 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 14:09 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:01 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.8 - 2.5