Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-01-19 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 62.7%
DET: 37.3%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.34
DET: 2.51
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | DAL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.870 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • DAL at home vs DET: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | DAL 3 - 2 DET | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-23 | DET 4 - 3 DAL | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-14 | DET 6 - 4 DAL | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-19 | DAL 4 - 1 DET | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-01-23 | DET 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:26 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 13:05 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 14:18 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:01 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 14:09 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.3 - 2.5
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