San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-01-20 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 6 - 3 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 52.7%
SJS: 47.3%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.46
SJS: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | BOS | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | 0.971 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BOS at home vs SJS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | BOS 2 - 4 SJS | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-11-23 | SJS 3 - 1 BOS | SJS | BOS |
| 2025-03-22 | SJS 3 - 1 BOS | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-01-20 | BOS 6 - 3 SJS | BOS | BOS |
| 2023-11-30 | BOS 3 - 0 SJS | BOS | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:21 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 13:16 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 07:02 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 08:52 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 15:18 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 08:22 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 14:11 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:45 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:35 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 6 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8
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