Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-01-20 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 62.0%
MIN: 38.0%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.34
MIN: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | COL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.945 | 0.978 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • COL at home vs MIN: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | COL 3 - 2 MIN | COL | COL |
| 2026-02-26 | COL 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-21 | MIN 1 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-28 | MIN 3 - 2 COL | MIN | COL |
| 2025-03-11 | MIN 2 - 1 COL | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:18 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 18:52 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:08 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 03:43 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
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