Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-01-20 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 62.0%
MIN: 38.0%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.34
MIN: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | COL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.945 | 0.978 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • COL at home vs MIN: 7-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | COL | ||
| 2026-05-15 | COL | ||
| 2026-05-13 | COL 4 - 3 MIN | COL | COL |
| 2026-05-11 | MIN 2 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-05-09 | MIN 5 - 1 COL | MIN | COL |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
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