Buffalo Sabres at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-01-20 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 6 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 37.6%

BUF: 62.4%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.56

BUF: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

BUF

D. Levi

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	29	25	4	86.2%	2.80	1	-1.20
BUF	D. Levi	34	28	6	82.4%	4.06	5	-1.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs BUF: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BUF 3 - 2 SEA	BUF	BUF
2025-12-14	SEA 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-20	SEA 6 - 4 BUF	SEA	BUF
2025-01-11	BUF 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	BUF
2024-03-18	SEA 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	2	1.17
1	BUF	16	0	0.64
2	SEA	18	0	1.01
2	BUF	18	0	1.09
3	SEA	16	3	1.88
3	BUF	18	1	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 6 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9