VGK vs STL - 2025-01-20
2025-01-20 • T-Mobile Arena
VGK 4 - 5 STL
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 68.8%
STL: 31.2%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.21
STL: 2.70
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 13-4-5 | 0.895 SV% | 2.49 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-12-6 | 0.871 SV% | 3.53 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:25 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 14:09 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 19:43 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:31 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:25 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:29 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:50 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:30 | VGK | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VGK | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VGK | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
VGK 4 - 5 STL
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7