Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-01-20 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

CHI: 37.5%

CAR: 62.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.66

CAR: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	48	44	4	91.7%	3.67	1	-0.33
CAR	Frederik Andersen	25	22	3	88.0%	2.72	1	-0.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • CHI at home vs CAR: 0-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-10	CHI 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-09	CHI 2 - 7 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-22	CAR 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CAR
2025-01-30	CAR 3 - 2 CHI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-20	CHI 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	1	1.60
1	CAR	21	0	0.93
2	CHI	13	0	0.65
2	CAR	17	0	1.07
3	CHI	9	0	0.47
3	CAR	27	1	1.42
4	CHI	0	0	0.00
4	CAR	2	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3