Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-01-21 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 61.7%
DET: 38.3%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.42
DET: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | PHI | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.837 | 0.886 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs DET: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | DET 6 - 3 PHI | DET | DET |
| 2026-04-02 | PHI 2 - 4 DET | DET | PHI |
| 2026-03-28 | DET 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-01-21 | PHI 2 - 1 DET | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-18 | DET 6 - 4 PHI | DET | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 05:21 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 00:30 | PHI | Goal |
| 4 | 04:34 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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