Florida Panthers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-01-21 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

ANA: 34.2%

FLA: 65.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.80

FLA: 4.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	29	24	5	82.8%	2.84	1	-2.16
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	30	28	2	93.3%	2.41	2	0.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ANA at home vs FLA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-04	ANA 7 - 3 FLA	ANA	FLA
2025-10-28	FLA 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	FLA
2025-01-21	ANA 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-01-18	FLA 3 - 0 ANA	FLA	FLA
2024-01-15	FLA 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	18	0	0.66
1	FLA	20	0	1.07
2	ANA	16	2	1.17
2	FLA	10	1	0.98
3	ANA	13	0	0.57
3	FLA	12	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.8 - 4.1