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Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-01-22 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
TOR: 56.0%
CBJ: 44.0%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.46
CBJ: 3.24
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 61%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA
StatTORCBJ
Season SV%0.9140.909
Last 5 SV%0.8630.888
SV% vs Opponent0.9390.925
GAA2.742.62
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • TOR at home vs CBJ: 1-3
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2025-11-26CBJ 1 - 2 TORTORCBJ
2025-11-20TOR 2 - 3 CBJCBJTOR
2025-10-29CBJ 6 - 3 TORCBJCBJ
2025-04-05TOR 5 - 0 CBJTORTOR
2025-01-22TOR 1 - 5 CBJCBJTOR

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
115:40CBJGoal
213:40CBJGoal
215:21CBJGoal
305:56CBJGoal
309:22CBJGoal
312:02CBJGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.5 - 3.2