Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-01-22 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 60.7%
CBJ: 39.3%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.22
CBJ: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | TOR | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.928 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.939 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • TOR at home vs CBJ: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | CBJ 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | CBJ |
| 2025-11-20 | TOR 2 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | TOR |
| 2025-10-29 | CBJ 6 - 3 TOR | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-04-05 | TOR 5 - 0 CBJ | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-01-22 | TOR 1 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:40 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 13:40 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 15:21 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 05:56 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 09:22 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 12:02 | CBJ | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0