Boston Bruins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-01-22 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

NJD: 61.0%

BOS: 39.0%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.24

BOS: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	23	22	1	95.7%	1.99	1	0.99
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	34	29	5	85.3%	3.41	3	-1.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs BOS: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	BOS
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	2	1.14
1	BOS	8	0	0.45
2	NJD	22	1	1.78
2	BOS	14	1	0.86
3	NJD	7	0	0.49
3	BOS	10	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0