Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-01-22 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 50.3%
WPG: 49.7%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.24
WPG: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | COL | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.920 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • COL at home vs WPG: 4-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | COL 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | COL |
| 2026-03-26 | WPG 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-14 | WPG 3 - 1 COL | WPG | COL |
| 2025-12-19 | COL 3 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-22 | COL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 06:09 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:56 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:44 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 07:05 | COL | Goal |
| 4 | 00:17 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.