Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-01-22 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 58.8%
WPG: 41.2%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.19
WPG: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | COL | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.885 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • COL at home vs WPG: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | COL 3 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-22 | COL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | COL |
| 2025-01-11 | WPG 3 - 0 COL | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-31 | COL 5 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-07 | WPG 1 - 0 COL | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 06:09 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:56 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:44 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 07:05 | COL | Goal |
| 4 | 00:17 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0