Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-01-23 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 56.4%
PIT: 43.6%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.12
PIT: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | ANA | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | — |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs PIT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | PIT 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | PIT |
| 2025-10-14 | ANA 4 - 3 PIT | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-01-23 | ANA 5 - 1 PIT | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-31 | PIT 2 - 1 ANA | PIT | PIT |
| 2023-11-07 | ANA 0 - 2 PIT | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:28 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 19:01 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 05:32 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 02:06 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 06:52 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:00 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9