Utah Hockey Club at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-01-24 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

WPG: 56.3%

UTA: 43.7%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.20

UTA: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	19	17	2	89.5%	1.82	1	-0.18
UTA	Connor Ingram	29	24	5	82.8%	4.03	2	-0.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • WPG at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	UTA 5 - 3 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-12-21	UTA 4 - 3 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-10-26	WPG 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	WPG
2025-04-05	UTA 4 - 1 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-01-24	WPG 5 - 2 UTA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	19	0	0.94
1	UTA	11	0	0.49
2	WPG	17	0	0.73
2	UTA	12	1	0.84
3	WPG	16	2	2.36
3	UTA	12	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7