Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

SEA: 50.8%

PIT: 49.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.25

PIT: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

PIT

J. Blomqvist

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	29	28	1	96.6%	3.16	2	2.16
PIT	J. Blomqvist	25	21	4	84.0%	1.88	0	-2.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs PIT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	SEA 3 - 6 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-22	PIT 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	PIT
2025-01-25	SEA 4 - 1 PIT	SEA	SEA
2025-01-14	PIT 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	PIT
2024-02-29	SEA 2 - 0 PIT	SEA	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	9	0	0.44
1	PIT	14	0	0.71
2	SEA	15	0	1.01
2	PIT	17	1	1.12
3	SEA	9	0	0.43
3	PIT	22	1	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0