Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-01-25 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 0 - 2 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 53.1%
DAL: 46.9%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.78
DAL: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | STL | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.856 | 0.874 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • STL at home vs DAL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | DAL 5 - 4 STL | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-01-27 | STL 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | STL |
| 2026-01-23 | DAL 3 - 2 STL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-10-18 | STL 3 - 1 DAL | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-02 | DAL 6 - 3 STL | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:07 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 09:36 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 0 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3