Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-01-25 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 4 - 5 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 56.1%
CGY: 43.9%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.04
CGY: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | MIN | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | 0.963 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs CGY: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | MIN 4 - 1 CGY | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-04 | CGY 4 - 1 MIN | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN 2 - 0 CGY | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-04-11 | CGY 4 - 2 MIN | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-01-25 | MIN 4 - 5 CGY | CGY | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:58 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 09:34 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 12:28 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 19:52 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 11:53 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 14:15 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 14:29 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 18:46 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 19:33 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 4 - 5 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1