Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-01-25 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 2 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 46.6%
NSH: 53.4%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.02
NSH: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | ANA | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.54 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | John Gibson | 43 | 41 | 2 | 95.3% | 4.68 | 2 | 2.68 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 35 | 30 | 5 | 85.7% | 5.39 | 4 | 0.39 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • ANA at home vs NSH: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | NSH 4 - 5 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-04-07 | ANA 0 - 5 NSH | NSH | ANA |
| 2025-10-21 | NSH 2 - 5 ANA | ANA | NSH |
| 2025-03-20 | NSH 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | NSH |
| 2025-03-14 | ANA 2 - 1 NSH | ANA | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 20 | 0 | 1.38 |
| 1 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.83 |
| 2 | ANA | 17 | 0 | 0.80 |
| 2 | NSH | 28 | 1 | 2.46 |
| 3 | ANA | 17 | 4 | 3.21 |
| 3 | NSH | 21 | 1 | 1.39 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1
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