Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 7 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

SJS: 35.5%

FLA: 64.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.58

FLA: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	32	25	7	78.1%	4.51	5	-2.49
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	23	21	2	91.3%	1.89	2	-0.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs FLA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	FLA 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	FLA
2025-11-08	SJS 3 - 1 FLA	SJS	FLA
2025-01-25	SJS 2 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-07	FLA 3 - 1 SJS	FLA	FLA
2023-11-14	SJS 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	1	0.77
1	FLA	17	1	1.80
2	SJS	13	1	0.87
2	FLA	16	4	2.01
3	SJS	6	0	0.24
3	FLA	14	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 7 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.6 - 3.4