Utah Hockey Club at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-01-26 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 3 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 55.6%
UTA: 44.4%
Expected Goals
OTT: 2.85
UTA: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | OTT | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.970 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • OTT at home vs UTA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | UTA 3 - 1 OTT | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-09 | OTT 4 - 2 UTA | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-01-26 | OTT 3 - 1 UTA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-10-22 | UTA 0 - 4 OTT | OTT | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12:16 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:52 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 07:33 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 13:22 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 3 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.8 - 3.1