Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-01-26 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 54.5%

MIN: 45.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.30

MIN: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	28	24	4	85.7%	2.83	3	-1.17
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	20	18	2	90.0%	1.55	1	-0.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CHI at home vs MIN: 1-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	9	0	0.14
1	MIN	13	0	0.61
2	CHI	8	0	0.21
2	MIN	11	0	0.53
3	CHI	21	1	1.20
3	MIN	13	3	1.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2